Category archives: Humanities & Social Sciences

What do we think? Scientific knowledge after judgment aggregation

What do we think? Scientific knowledge after judgment aggregation

Philosophy of science

By Jesús Zamora Bonilla

After centuries of debate, there is no agreement about whether ‘knowledge’ must be essentially conceived as a cognitive state of individual minds, or must be attributed to some collective entity, i.e., whether it’s me , or we , who ‘really’ knows. A promising analytical approach to this problem has emerged in recent years, which is […]

Crime deterrence

Crime deterrence

Economics

By José Luis Ferreira

Gary Becker presented a first economic approach to criminal behavior. In a very standard neoclassical framework he studied this apparently non-economic problem. In particular, Becker assumed rational criminals responding to variables such as the probability of being caught, the severity of the punishment and the labor-market opportunity cost. After this seminal work, a large empirical […]

An experiment on confirmation bias

An experiment on confirmation bias

Economics

By José Luis Ferreira

This post summarizes the article “Confirmation bias with motivated beliefs”, by Charness and Dave, published in Games and Economic Behavior in 2017. Confirmation bias (CB) can be defined as an agent’s tendency to seek, interpret and use evidence in a manner biased toward confirming her existing beliefs or hypotheses. This constitutes a misjudgment that limits […]

Why we almost certainly <i>do not</i> live in a simulation ? (&2)

Why we almost certainly do not live in a simulation ? (&2)

Philosophy of science

By Jesús Zamora Bonilla

In the previous entry , I described Nick Bostrom’s argument for the ‘simulation hypothesis’, i.e., the conjecture that we are very, very likely living not in a ‘real’ world, but within some kind of computer simulation, and ended offering some skeptical doubts about its structure by comparing it to Bertrand Russell’s prankish argument about whether […]

Why we almost certainly <i>do not</i> live in a simulation ? (1)

Why we almost certainly do not live in a simulation ? (1)

Philosophy of science

By Jesús Zamora Bonilla

One important principle of any sensible social epistemology is that the fraction of crazy-sounding ideas that are really crazy is extremely high. Of course, a lot of crazy-sounding ideas have turned out being right (e.g., the evolution of different species from common ascent, the earth’s being a planet turning around a star, the atomic composition […]

Is China a Socialist country?

Is China a Socialist country?

Economics

By José Luis Ferreira

The last issue of the Journal of Economic Perspectives published the article Is China Socialist? by Barry Naughton , which I summarize here. In order to address the question, the first thing Naughton does is to provide a working definition of socialism. Under a broad conception, a plausible socialist system would be judged on four […]